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2024-12-14 10:41:06

Friday afternoon comment: Signs are coming out! The rebound of the market in the afternoon is unstoppable!At present, although the global economic situation is still complicated and changeable, the domestic economic fundamentals remain stable and positive. The recent sustained efforts of a series of steady growth policies have provided strong support for the development of enterprises and injected confidence into the capital market. Take the science and technology sector as an example, the state attaches increasing importance to scientific and technological innovation. The widespread application of 5G technology, the rapid development of artificial intelligence and the accelerated breakthrough of the semiconductor industry have brought huge development space for related enterprises. Under the guidance of technological innovation, these enterprises have gradually improved their performance and continuously enhanced their market competitiveness, which will naturally attract the attention of many investors and become an important force to promote the rise of the broader market.


From the perspective of market capital flow, although the whole market is cautious in early trading, some main funds have begun to be quietly laid out. Some high-quality blue-chip stocks and growth stocks show signs of net capital inflow, which indicates that institutional investors are more optimistic about the market outlook and are laying out in advance, waiting for the benefits brought by the market rebound. However, after experiencing the shock in early trading, retail investors gradually stabilized their mood, and some wait-and-see funds began to tentatively enter the market. Once the rebound trend of the market is established in the afternoon, there will be more funds to follow up, forming a strong buying force and promoting the accelerated rise of the market.From the perspective of market capital flow, although the whole market is cautious in early trading, some main funds have begun to be quietly laid out. Some high-quality blue-chip stocks and growth stocks show signs of net capital inflow, which indicates that institutional investors are more optimistic about the market outlook and are laying out in advance, waiting for the benefits brought by the market rebound. However, after experiencing the shock in early trading, retail investors gradually stabilized their mood, and some wait-and-see funds began to tentatively enter the market. Once the rebound trend of the market is established in the afternoon, there will be more funds to follow up, forming a strong buying force and promoting the accelerated rise of the market.From a technical point of view, the shock consolidation in early trading has gradually restored the short-term indicators, the contrast between long and short forces has quietly changed, the potential energy of the empty side has been attenuated, and many parties are ready to accumulate power. Although the transaction volume has not been significantly enlarged, it has shown a moderate increasing trend, indicating that the wait-and-see mood of funds has gradually disappeared and the willingness to enter the market has increased.


Looking at the consumption sector, with the improvement of residents' living standards and the change of consumption concepts, the trend of consumption upgrading is becoming more and more obvious. Especially near the end of the year, the traditional consumption season is coming, and industries such as food and beverage, home appliances and tourism will all usher in sales peaks. Major businesses have also launched promotional activities to further stimulate consumer demand. According to relevant data, in the past few years, every fourth quarter, the revenue and profits of the consumer sector have increased significantly. This fully shows that during this period, the investment value of the consumer sector is prominent, and funds will be more inclined to flow into these industries, thus driving the market index to rise.However, investors should not be blindly optimistic in the process of expecting a rebound in the broader market. The market is changing rapidly, and there are still some uncertain factors that may interfere with the rebound. For example, changes in the international geopolitical situation may trigger fluctuations in the global capital market, which in turn will affect the domestic market; The fluctuation of macroeconomic data may also have a certain impact on market confidence; In addition, factors such as intensified industry competition and business risks will also have an impact on the performance of individual stocks. Therefore, while grasping the rebound opportunity, investors should do a good job in risk control, rationally allocate assets and avoid excessive concentration of investment.

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